17 January 2012

Thou too, China?

Washington Post, November 17, 2004:

U.S. officials have expressed fear that China's veto power could make Iran more stubborn in the face of U.S. pressure.
The burgeoning relationship is reflected in two huge new oil and gas deals between the two countries that will deepen the relationship for at least the next 25 years, analysts here say.
Deepen, and for 25 years, really? Well, if analysts say so, it might be true, though I wouldn't bet anything important on it...

The New York Times, September 29, 2009:

...as the United States issues new calls to punish Iran for secretly expanding its nuclear program, it is not at all clear that Washington’s interests are the same as Beijing’s.
That will make it doubly difficult, these analysts say, to push meaningful sanctions against Iran through the United Nations Security Council, where China not only holds a veto but has also been one of Iran's more reliable defenders.
 Are those the same analysts, I wonder? The chinese meaning of "reliable defenders" might have eluded those analysts just a tad, me thinks.

AFP, this weekend:
Later on Sunday, China signed energy deals with Saudi Arabia as Prime Minister Wen Jiabao visited Riyadh.
The two countries inked several economic and cultural agreements including a Memorandum of Understanding between Saudi petrochemical giant SABIC and China's Sinopec to build a petrochemical plant in Tianjin, Saudi state news agency SPA said.
Strangely, I couldn't find the word "analysts" in the entire article. They're probably on a sunny beach somewhere, sipping exotic drinks with little umbrellas. Quite sure that they won't be needed for another, uh, 25 years or so.

Oh, well. That should teach western politicians (and analysts, let's not forget the analysts!) a lesson about both the Middle and Far East. Should, but will it?

Too bad  the not-analyst John Elfreth Watkins jr isn't around anymore. His totally non-analytical predictions from more than 100 years ago proved true, well most of them:


Dick Stanley said...

OT, what I want to know is if the Elders have any info on the idea that an Iranian sub torpedoed that Italian cruise ship? The notion that the captain was drunk is more probable, I suppose, but not near as exciting.

SnoopyTheGoon said...

Why would Iranian sub torpedo an Italian ship? Sounds too complicated.

A drunk Italian captain version totally answers the Occam's razor principle.

Pisa said...

Well, this is not entirely OT. Abandoning sinking ship seems to become quite a trend nowadays.

SnoopyTheGoon said...

Well, a reasonable act altogether.  Unless it's the captain who does it first...

David All said...

Snoopy, thanks for pointing out the falliablity of "experts". Will they learn anything from this? I doubt it. The one thing that "experts" are convinced of is that they are infalliable like the Pope!

The captain of the Italian cruise liner was either drunk or incompetent or both.

OT, but related to earlier post. In North Korea people are being punished for not being  genuine enough in their mourning for the death of the Dear Leader, Kim il Jong. Read about it at http://www.dailynk.com/english/read.php?cataId=nk01500&num=8668

Hat tip to Gene at Harry's Place for the link in this post: http://hurryupharry.org/2012/01/16/report-north-koreans-punished-for-insincere-mourning/#comments  

SnoopyTheGoon said...

Thanks, David, for the kind words, but they belong to Pisa by right.

As for NK - yes, one should be less restrained when grieving for the Dear Leader. I am ready to start grieving for the current one...

Brian Goldfarb said...

"As for NK - yes, one should be less restrained when grieving for the Dear Leader." Oh, I hadn't realised that the head of Neturei Karta had died. Sorry to hear it. Will we all have to sit shiva for the next century?  

SnoopyTheGoon said...

Head of Neturei Karta is immortal, as is widely known (to the member of that clan, at least).